Prediction

Premier League Prediction – Week 22

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The world of football hasn’t been that busy of late, the stories doing the rounds reflect the lack of anything of worth to be talking about. Thus it’s on with looking to consider the games this weekend.

Before that however, we have the small matter of seeing how I did in the last set of predictions. The points system operates in a simple way – three points gained for a spot on prediction, one point for just the right outcome and zero points for getting nothing.

Chelsea 2-1 Arsenal (1 point – actual score 3-1)

Crystal Palace 3-1 Sunderland (0 points – actual score 0-4)

Everton 2-1 Bournemouth (1 point – actual score 6-3)

Hull City 1-3 Liverpool (0 points – actual score 2-0)

Southampton 1-1 West Ham (0 points – actual score 1-3)

Watford 2-1 Burnley (3 points)

West Brom 1-1 Stoke City (0 points – actual score 1-0)

Tottenham 3-0 Middlesbrough (1 point – actual score 1-0)

Man City 4-0 Swansea City (1 point – actual score 2-1)

7 points is not the greatest return and a 50% return on the outcomes is only just about acceptable. You may have noticed that there was no prediction for the Leicester v Man Utd match which was an oversight on my part and so I duly accept the zero points that go with that. Which is a pity because the score could have done with me getting at least a point from that prediction. It’s not the best week of predictions.

However, there is the chance to do better by taking a look at this weekend’s fixtures. Let us have a look at what is going on.

Arsenal 3-1 Hull City: Here’s the thing. Arsenal tend to crumble when it really matters then resume their expected superiority when the chase is over. The chase is over. There was argument that the chase was over before the Watford game. There was more talk about the chase being over before the Chelsea game. Now, being twelve points behind the leaders, no matter what Wenger says, the chase is over. Apparently there’s a little issue about confirming their top four place, but seriously since when has Wenger failed on that minimum standard? Since never that’s since when. So as part of all that jazz they should return to winning ways in this home game. They should do, not because Hull City are pushovers. They played Liverpool and Man Utd in their last two games and if anyone had said they would emerge from those games unbeaten with four points they would have been committed to an institution for ongoing monitoring. Yet here they are arriving at the Emirates on a genuinely impressive run of form that could … yeah legitimately … see them emerge triumphant in their quest to play Premier League football in the 2017-18 season. But that’s getting ahead of ourselves. They are still in the thick of the battle. It’s one thing going unbeaten against two heavyweights in a row, it’s a stretch of incredulity to expect them to leave this third encounter unscathed. It’s not impossible and let’s face it, it would be hilarious if that was to happen to Arsenal, but it’s just not going to happen. So there. (He says with a smirk of hope.)

Man Utd 2-1 Watford: United will know better than to take Watford for granted. Mazzari’s side are actually enjoying a decent run of form that has seen them unbeaten in their last four league fixtures winning the last two. One of those wins was away to Arsenal. That means Mourinho would be making a big mistake to take them lightly. The team from Hertfordshire can play a solid game that is high energy and frustrating to bigger opponents. United, however, are on a little mission of their own. Their unbeaten league run stretches back for months and yet they are still looking up at five clubs above them. Their fans are understandably wondering how and why. Especially as some of those sides have faltered dramatically of late, that United are still in sixth place is a sore point. It’s also part of the fuel that will motor the team onto taking this game seriously and applying due professionalism. They certainly have by far the superior squad, their selection of players is the envy of most teams in the Premier League and there is enough quality in them to make any team suffer if they are clinical. Therein lies the challenge for United especially at home where they have not been as clinical as they should and that allied with world class goalkeeping displays have meant a number of games have finished with frustrating draws. This one could go the same way if the opponents are similarly disciplined and focused more on stopping the red machine. The home team know, though, that they cannot afford to keep dropping points if they want to achieve their goal for the season.

Middlesbrough 1-3 Everton: This is the tale of two very different football teams. Middlesbrough were not guaranteed staying in the Premier League when they got promoted. Their squad did not scream the sort to be well established in the Premier League. Yet when you considered the others in their area of the division there should have been a glimmer of hope that if they play the right way and make things difficult for their opponents they could look forward to playing more Premier League football. As it’s transpiring, though, their run of form has been dire and they are not far from the drop themselves. What’s been the ongoing concern with them has been the lack of goals scored. Who knows if this was something Karanka wanted support in during the disappointing transfer window. All that is known is that they don’t look any the better to address that issue. That should be of grave concern to Boro fans. What should make that concern all the worse is that they are about to entertain a team who are on a run of games where they have won four of their last five games. Koeman is not the sort to get complacent, he’s never had the team in a position to do that. There has always been something to play for. He still sees there being something to play for with this Everton side on this run. They are five points behind a relentless United and four points ahead of a West Brom that doesn’t look in the mood to win that many games on the trot. That is to say Koeman is doing a tremendous job keeping his team motivated under such a safe position. Their entertaining game against Bournemouth would have told Koeman much of what his team is capable of both positive and negative and that will keep him on his toes in ensuring his team can get the maximum points available from the trip to Teeside.

Stoke City 2-1 Crystal Palace: The bottom of the table is fairly congested with five teams scrambling over each other in a bid to avoid the dreaded drop. One of the teams that has a squad that should not be in this scrap is Crystal Palace. Palace sacked Pardew before the transfer window and replaced him with Allardyce in a move that many applauded as the one that would see them ease out of danger. Four losses in five games was not the kind of form they had in mind. Second from bottom was not the plan going into this arrangement. Some blame the last guy for wrecking the club, to his credit Allardyce hasn’t gone down that road in terms of apportioning responsibility. Rightly so, because here is the guy much lauded for being able to turn it around fairly quickly. Small issue is, he really isn’t turning it around. The team aren’t looking that defensively solid. The team aren’t really that much of a threat up front. The team aren’t really that resilient mentally. The team aren’t really doing much worthy of thinking they can make the turnaround. Not the best time to make a trip to the Potteries. Stoke, however, are blowing a little hot and cold at the moment. They could do with a win to get back on track in their bid to finish in the top half of the table. This could be the game where they get to see some of the promise in their new guy Berahino, the defence they face would certainly appear to be generous for that to happen. That is not to say a Sam Allardyce team is just going to sit down and take it where this game is concerned. He will demand that they keep fighting until the end. It’s just that the end could still see them return to South London with nothing for their efforts.

Sunderland 2-1 Southampton: I can’t remember the last time I predicted Sunderland would win a match. I don’t even know if that has ever happened. That’s not any antagonism towards the Wearsiders. I don’t particularly find them distasteful, they have just been reliably awful throughout the season which is a good reason why they are looking up at 19 teams ahead of them. And yet here I am writing legitimately about Sunderland winning this game. That’s not a commendation about Sunderland, though. They still depend too much on Defoe for inspiration and goals. They are still far to porous at the back. Signing up a number of Everton rejects might make Moyes feel more comfortable but it’s not the recipe for success in the relegation dogfight. So it’s about their opponents. There is little that surprises me these days and Southampton’s collapse in league form of late is one of those things that has not been that surprising. It’s as though the entire club has gone on snooze mode in preparation for the League Cup final. Their performances and results have been so substandard that they have to do something to be careful to rise themselves from this or else the effort will be for nothing and there is still enough time for them to get sucked into the mess at the bottom of the table. If it was down to comparing between the two sides in their quality the Saints should go marching in to collecting three points. Yet Moyes should have enough in him and in this squad and hopefully in their goal-den saviour Defoe to snap up another three points that might prove valuable in their quest to stay up.

West Ham 2-1 West Brom: Although the Hammers are one place behind the Baggies there is a not insignificant five point gap separating the two teams. That is testament to the sterling work Pulis has done at the Hawthorns in going to great lengths to ensure not just safety but progression. Finishing in the top half of the table would definitely be classed as progression to the Midlands side. Not so much for the team playing in London. Although they recovered well from the City beating to defeat Southampton, Slaven Bilic will know that there is still much work to do to finish what has been a tumultuous season on a high. He speaks well of the squad cohesion in the light of certain transfer debacles and if they are indeed settled and the team pattern can work well, they have every chance of emerging from this tussle with the much needed victory to bridge the gap between both sides. Pulis sides are notoriously stubborn, though, and even if their away record isn’t that much to write home about, they can still prove to be tricky for those forever blowing bubbles. The progress of late since 2017 and the quality of players who are not playing towards their peak means that West Ham can look forward to this game with some optimism. Though a safer prediction would be to plum for the draw, there is something about the capacity of the home side to be a danger that particularly makes me think they can edge this close encounter.

Liverpool 1-3 Tottenham: The record of the home side in 2017 has been well documented. They are not scoring anywhere near enough goals and they are certainly not winning games. There has been reference to their capacity to get up for the big games and this would certainly fall under that category. Maybe with the week to lick their wounds and address things on the training pitch they will be better prepared for this big fixture. Perhaps with Mane nearer full fitness and the side getting back into gear the Anfield faithful will be able to cheer their heroes to a desperate and rare three points. The record of Spurs at Anfield might also be reason for further optimism. There is something about this Spurs side this season, however, that suggests that it will not be that straightforward at all. Something Pochettino has instilled in this Spurs side is a rugged ability to grind out results. They are in second place and the best placed to challenge Chelsea not because they play beautiful football, it’s because when they are playing poorly their system stands strong because of the effort of remaining tight to beat and ready to hit on the counter-attack when necessary. They seem to have matured even from last season and their unity and sense of purpose is allowing them to keep plugging away despite the feeling that hey won’t be able to last the course. Their progress has been made without fuss or fanfare very much in suiting with their manager’s approach to the game. There is strength, solidity and determination throughout their side and in Harry Kane they have one of the league’s hardest working and clinical strikers. If they come with the right frame of mind they could quite possibly exploit some of the frailties in the Liverpool side and in that way reinforce their own credentials whilst dismissing those of the Reds.

Burnley 0-3 Chelsea: Looking at the league table for Burnley fans must be such a fun exercise. They are a full nine points clear of the relegation zone. They are three points away from a top half position. They have more to look ahead for than to look behind them. That position has been established primarily because of their home record. Indeed of the 29 points they have picked up so far, 28 of them have been collected from Turf Moor. They have done tremendously well in turning it into their fortress to a large degree. They have faced top sides before at their own patch and sent them packing pointless. Now, however, they face undoubtedly their greatest challenge. It’s not that this Chelsea side play memorable fantasy football that gets the pulses racing. It’s not that this is the best first eleven to ever play in the Premier League. It is that Conte has struck solid gold with the best way to utilise this collection of players who have experience of playing winning football. The defence are stingy to say the least. The midfield is beastly to underrate them. The attack is clinical to not put a fine point on it. No one can in anyway deny that they deserve to be where they are on merit. That will pose massive problems for the Lancashire side where the onus is on them to make the moves. The Blues meanwhile can play any way they need to. They can hit on the break when under the cosh or they can impose themselves if invited. They don’t even have to slip out of second gear to manipulate teams and manage games as Arsenal discovered last week. As long as it’s football there’s a degree of hope for Burnley, but that window of opportunity won’t be open for long at all with the relentless way that this Chelsea side operate. Expect the away win.

Swansea City 3-2 Leicester: It would have been very heartening for Ranieiri to see his reserves eventually put Derby to the sword in the FA Cup on Wednesday. Extra time would not have been something he would have wanted to get the job done, but at least it was done. Perhaps one or two performances could have made him think again about who he will start with or pick in the squad for this match. What will be abundantly clear, however, is that the big guns will return for this massive encounter. The way they were easily dispatched in their last league game will be the pressing matter that the Foxes will want to fix. What is not that encouraging, however, is their away record. Even Hull City have won away from home, but for Leicester they have yet to get three points in one game away from home comforts. They will no doubt know that Paul Clement’s side will not be accommodating them at all. Swansea have the edge in this match. Three wins in their last five matches is the sort of turnaround in fortunes that now sees them level on points with the visitors. Clement will certainly be looking to make the most of this opportunity to get some more points on the board to assist in their quest for safety. This game will also be a good indication to see their ability to come back from a disappointing defeat. Sure City were expected to beat them, but to lose out in the last minute having fought valiantly can do one of two things to the mentality of the players. The first is to discourage them, but the second is what Swans will be hoping for and that’s namely taking the positives to give them hope for the next fixture to present a force that’s hard to beat and able to capitalise on the frustrations of others. This is a significant fixture in the race to safety and a draw will not be a good point for either team. In that light, although the pressure is mostly on the Foxes, it just might be the home side that rises to the occasion most to get the three points.

Bournemouth 1-4 Man City: Bournemouth can’t remember how to win a football game in the league. Their form over the last five games have been a cause for concern. Their saving grace is the fact that there are teams whose run of games have been even worse than theirs. There are enough games, however, for the side on the coast to be drawn into an unseemly scramble to stay in the Premier League. They have to pick up the winning habit quickly. They have beaten Liverpool and took Arsenal to a thrilling draw at the Vitality Stadium, their manager’s commitment to the style of football they play is admirable and has overall been effective enough. Now, however, they face a side who have begun to remember what it is to be who they are. The arrival of Gabriel Jesus into the first team of Man City has been a massive boost. The three they play in attacking positions now have a fluidity, a dynamism and a run of form that makes them massive threats going forward. They know if Spurs slip up at Anfield the win here could see them take second place and for that to happen after the level of criticism they have faced this season would be a great way to invite their critics to place their jibes in a pipe and proceed to inhale and exhale thereof. They may not be thoroughly convincing defensively just yet, but that won’t matter if their attacking and possession game gets into the rhythm. They won’t find it easy against Howe’s side, but unlike others, they should learn to take the game by the scruff of the neck and put their possession to clinical use. If they turn up in that mood, Bournemouth won’t be able to live with them.

So at least I have the ten games going on this weekend! It’s an interesting set of fixtures where I am fairly confident on improving on the points collection and getting the better than average percentage of outcomes. Of course there’s always the possibility that one or two results might turn out my way, but I am certainly hoping to get some spot on predictions to help the scoring.

Let’s see how it goes.

Shalom

C. L. J. Dryden

Premier League Prediction – Week 21 Part 2

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Teams could have made significant strides to competing with Chelsea and largely failed. Teams could have made significant strides to easing away from the relegation zone and some teams made the most of that, where others sunk deeper. It’s the Premier League ramping up the action as the end becomes clearer in sight.

Let us consider how I did in the games earlier this week. There are points at stake as ever with these predictions and those points work in the same way as the points do in the league. That is three points for a spot on correction, one point for just getting the right  outcome and absolutely nothing if I got both of those wrong.

Arsenal 3-0 Watford (0 points – actual score 1-2)

Bournemouth 2-1 Crystal Palace (0 points – actual score 0-2)

Burnley 2-1 Leicester City (1 point – actual score 1-0)

Middlesbrough 1-1 West Brom (3 points)

Sunderland 0-2 Tottenham (0 points – actual score 0-0)

Swansea 2-1 Southampton (3 points)

Liverpool 2-1 Chelsea (0 points – actual score 1-1)

West Ham 1-3 Man City (1 point – actual score 0-4)

Man Utd 4-0 Hull City (0 points – actual score 0-0)

Stoke City 1-1 Everton (3 points)

Well look at that, can’t remember the last time I got three game predictions spot on. That’s a pleasant site and that’s a great contribution to the final score for the round 11 points. In terms of the percentage of correct outcomes, though, it was a disappointing 50%.

No need to rest on that however, as with the game there’s plenty of chances to do better the next time around. So let us consider this weekend’s games.

Chelsea 2-1 Arsenal: No surprise that this is the game of the weekend. A lot rests on the outcome of this match. Chelsea find themselves facing the second game against a potential rival for their position at top spot. Getting a draw at Anfield has been viewed overall as a positive result. They cannot, however, afford to continue to drop points if they want to secure the title that is very much in their grip. A win in this match would do much to move them in that direction. Whereas for Arsenal the surprise defeat at home to Watford suddenly sharpens their focus on what it is that they’re really fighting for this season. This is a game that they know they must win if they want any hope of catching Chelsea, otherwise the season will be considered another disappointment. Arsenal have the quality in their squad to compete against Chelsea. They have a stunning attack who tend to score in most games and they have a goalkeeper who knows Chelsea very well. The question remains whether they have the mental capacity to deal with the game’s ebbs and flows. They will not face a harder away match for in Chelsea they face the best team in the league for a reason – resolute, formidable, relentless and able to bounce back from setbacks. For those reasons alone in what will be a tough match the advantage has to go to the home side.

Crystal Palace 3-1 Sunderland: From the match of the weekend in quality, to the second most important match of the weekend. No it won’t be a festival of football delight. Don’t expect flicks and tricks or stunning displays of tactical genius. Nope this is what is referred to as a six-pointer. Both teams find themselves at the wrong end of the table scrabbling to get out of the mess their poor performances have left them in. A precious three points for either side will be more welcome than a free holiday to Barbados all expenses paid in the middle of winter. This also sees the first time Sam Allardyce will face the last club he managed. No ill feeling will be experienced from either party, but likewise sentiment won’t get in the way of both looking to get the win. While Sunderland celebrated a surprise draw at home to Spurs with the added bonus of a clean sheet, Crystal Palace emerged with a much needed three points from their slugfest at Bournemouth and again they got a clean sheet from the experience. Looking at both sides, the home side really should have enough to edge it past their rivals. Moyes will endeavour to utilise his new signings to bolster their defence and ensure that the clean sheet will be a pattern, but Palace should have enough going forward to be a nuisance and pierce through the resistance

Everton 2-1 Bournemouth: Eddie Howe must be scratching his head a little. At the moment it’s not a crisis, but losing to Crystal Palace makes their position in the league just a little tenuous. Nothing too serious yet, but he won’t want this to become a habit at this stage of the season. Not the best time to go visiting Goodison Park, though. Koeman will be glad to see his side keep fighting to emerge from the tussle at Stoke City with a draw to keep their little unbeaten run going and keep on looking up to what they could achieve rather than at those chasing their position. The squad is a little stronger for the transfer window and this will be a good opportunity to see them flex that opportunity at home. They are clicking into gear at the right time of the season and if they don’t take this game for granted they could very well run up a large score against the side that don’t do all that well on their travels.

Hull City 1-3 Liverpool: Liverpool should lose this match. That’s nothing to do with their recent awful form in 2017 so far, this is something about Hull City in particular. They somehow love being the sort of annoying team that gets to beat Liverpool. With the Reds being in generous mood with inferior rivals, Hull are ripe to take advantage of that. This follows their sturdy performance at Old Trafford where they left with a point and a clean sheet after a superlative effort by their goalkeeper. The new manager is not so much the mug after all with a number of creditable performances. They see a way out of the relegation zone if they keep up their current run, they see a way out. It is not so much mission impossible. Especially if they can capitalise on games like this. Games where they should be onto a loser. The main reason why I am still going for an away spanking is that two great performances in a row for a team with Hull’s resources is a stretch. They will be a team that has a relatively decent amount of recovery time to be able to focus their energies on what is their sole concern for the rest of the season. That kind of focus should let them see each game as even more important than ever before. Winning this game is more important than ever before. They have a team that looks more ready to take on these kind of games like before. This game should see them start getting in the mood to return to winning ways.

Southampton 1-1 West Ham: The Hammers were torn apart in their match against City. It was a case of the masters putting the apprentices in their place. That king of humbling defeat puts their season in perspective. As it looks at the moment it will be something of an achievement to finish in the top half of the table. They would do their chances the world of good by getting three points at St. Mary’s. The home side are not doing so well of late, the semi-final win at Anfield securing their position at the EFL Cup final has had the predictable effect of making it harder for the players to rise to the occasion when it comes to their regular league duties.This is not something that Puel will want to see maintained as they look at  getting some sort of run together to also go chasing to secure a top half finish to the season. Though they have the record signing in their ranks there is still the settling-in period to take into account. Whilst all of that is happening they will not want to let their focus slip too much. They will want to make this a competitive effort for their home fans so they don’t pick this dropping points deal as a habit. They may find their visitors, however, a tough nut to crack. Thus with those factors in place this is set for a draw.

Watford 2-1 Burnley: I have to admit I did not see it coming at all. Mazzari has not set the league alight with the way Watford go about their business. There’s nothing that much different in how they perform now to how they performed last season. Yet there they go up against Arsenal and can get into them straight from the first whistle and manage to return to Hertfordshire with all three points. That is a massive boost in their efforts to retain their Premier League status. Now they have the not as arduous challenge of facing at home one of the worst teams away from home in the league.   Burnley away from home are a mess. Their saving grace is their home form, because away from home they have been dire. It is odd, though, because Dyche has put together a hard working football team. They don’t have outstanding individuals and leave it to the outstanding team ethic to make all the difference. That should be as successful home and away. It’s not just the fans that are baffled, so Dyche will be looking for a match like this to be able to turn that form around. Watford are there for the taking due largely to their patchy and inconsistent form, so it could the time and the chance to pop the balloon that’s kept the home side buzzing. Yet perhaps it’s time for Watford to do something they rarely do and go and win two games in a row.

West Brom 1-1 Stoke City: It seems for the longest time that these two sides have had a somewhat niggling relationship. They are not the outright most fearsome Midlands derby there is, but there appears to be a little something about this tie which has fans from both sides a little more antagonistic than usual. That irritant has been flared up again with the arrival of Berahino from the Hawthorns up to Stoke. Recent suggestions and comments have not been all that flattering from the former club to the player. Likewise implications from the new club raise questions about what was going on at the last club. Should he come on the pitch it’s unlikely that he will be greeted with warm wishes from the home side. This could all be a convenient smokescreen, however, to two teams who essentially slugging it out for a place at near the top of the middle of the table. It’s the ultimate fight for mediocrity. These two teams are fairly similar in many ways including the quality of the playing staff. Both teams can score, without ever threatening to be anything prolific on a regular basis. Crouch has his 100th Premier League goal now, so he’s not desperate for that much now. Pulis likes his record usually against former clubs. So it’s set up neatly for a tussle that could see both sides fight each other to a standstill.

Tottenham 3-0 Middlesbrough: Spurs won’t be happy. They have had two games where the level of performance has been disappointing and in the last game they failed to beat Sunderland, worse still they even couldn’t manage to score against a team so generous that it’s surprising they are not just a registered charity such is their nature of giving. Pochettino will want to do something about that as soon as possible and they face a team that they should really beat … again. Boro seem adverse to scoring. Their record away from home is not something to be pleased about either. If they show up to White Hart Lane and perform anything like they have in those games then Spurs will smash them to pieces where the final result is concerned. Something Boro can do fairly competently is defend. They don’t usually concede many. That rigid defensive system is evidently proving very useful and it will certainly need to as they face the barrage of attacking options that Spurs call on.

Man City 4-0 Swansea City: It has been a breath of fresh air at the Liberty Stadium. Before Clement they were at the bottom of the table without a hope of survival. Two win later and they are looking at pulling away further from that dreadful drop. They face, however, Manchester City. For the indifferent results they got in the league, there was never anything to suggest that they were a poor football side. They play arguably the most attractive style of football which has been found out by a few teams and they have not always been as clinical as their chances suggested. The result against West Ham would have done them the world of good to know they can get back on the scoring front. Swansea are many things, but stingy in defence is not one of them and if City can rack up four against West Ham with Aguerro on the bench, there’s no reason why they can’t put the Welsh side to the sword if they maintain that clinical nature.

Leicester City 1-3 Man Utd: Some have argued that United’s draw against Hull in the week saw them back to their worst. Some even mentioned that it was as bad as the LvG. That’s because some have very selective and poor memories. United may have not been as sharp in front of goal as they should have been but overall this season they have shown progress. They are not the LvG stodgy style of play and they are far better than they ever were under Moyes. They have a chance to close the gap still further on those ahead of them and they have the core of players who can make that a reality. They particularly have a good game to get the chance to gain those points because of who they face. Leicester didn’t do much in the transfer window to indicate they were going to be better than they were before. And before in the league even without Champions League matches they were not good at all. They have gone out of their way to keep a player who wants to leave because they don’t want to sell him to a competitor and when that competitor is Sunderland that should be all you need to know about how bad they are. There is little to suggest that they can use this game to climb out of their predicament. They have beaten the other Manchester side at home, though, which might be a source of some hope. Yet the team that are still referred to as the Premier League champions will have a lot to do to salvage any aspect of that credibility back in this match.

There are the games that take place this weekend. It would be lovely to repeat the feat of getting more than one correct scoreline and if the majority of matches can have the same result it will be the sort of improvement I would heartily recommend. Whether that will happen or not …

Let’s see how it goes.

Shalom

C. L. J. Dryden

Premier League Prediction – Week 21 Part 1

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The FA Cup took the limelight over the weekend with the usual mix of expected beatings and shocks and upsets and media rubbish over the vaunted nature of the trophy. It was what it was, but quite rightly the bread and butter of the club is the league.

It’s that time again to consider how this set of fixtures is going to pan out. Before that it’s worth again looking back on how I did in the last set of fixtures. There is a points system at work and that operates in this way – three points for a spot on prediction, one point for a correct outcome and nothing for nothing.

Liverpool 4-1 Swansea (0 points – actual score 2-3)

Bournemouth 2-1 Watford (0 points – actual score 2-2)

Crystal Palace 1-2 Everton (1 point – actual score 0-1)

Middlesbrough 1-0 West Ham (0 points – actual score 1-3)

Stoke City 1-2 Man Utd (0 points – actual score 1-1)

West Brom 3-1 Sunderland (1 point – actual score 2-0)

Man City 1-2 Tottenham (0 points – actual score 2-2)

Southampton 1-1 Leicester (0 points – actual score 3-0)

Arsenal 3-0 Burnley (1 point – actual score 2-1)

Chelsea 5-0 Hull City (1 point – actual score 2-0)

What a miserable set of results that has turned out to be on all points. Only four correct outcomes and only those were outcomes not a correct result in them at all. Meaning it was a mere four points for that set of fixtures. Not good at all.

Now it’s to dust myself down and consider this week’s worth of fixtures and with a dearth of league matches in the last week there’s making up for it with two sets of league fixtures this week. So as ever this entry will cover the first part. And surely I can turn it around now. Surely?

Arsenal 3-0 Watford: Things are looking good for Arsenal at the moment. They brushed aside Southampton in the Cup with a convincing thrashing. They sit second in the table and now they have a chance to further affirm both their position in second and more importantly for them their place in the top four. Their team is scoring goals on a regular basis and the whole mental approach is not has soft as it has been in time past as seen in their last league fixture where they nabbed a win in the dying seconds against Burnley. The look of their squad and first team selection is ominous as ever, particularly for the opponents. Watford are eight points away from the bottom three, but their form of late in all competitions should be a point of great concern. They are not in a position to believe they won’t get dragged into the scrap to stay up. Being in that position is not the best way to approach a trip to the Emirates. Plus with talk of one of their only decent players possibly leaving the club by deadline day that’s not the most settling news to support the morale. In those circumstances, some might see this as one of those games where they should be looking to make it difficult for the home team. They can try. They will not succeed.

Bournemouth 2-1 Crystal Palace: There are games where you don’t think you have a chance. There are other games where you think that if you put in the effort you could get the result you’re looking for. Crystal Palace have not got going yet under Sam Allardyce. Their signings to date have not been that inspiring. Yet their squad should still not be in the bottom three, but there they are. This game, however, is one where they should feel a bit more confident of emerging with either the point or all three. That’s not because the Vitality Stadium is an easy place to play. Eddie Howe has done fairly well at home especially in contrast to their away form. They are doing well at the moment as far as the table is concerned and if results go their way they could even face the weekend in the top half of the table. To get there, though, they will have to defeat a Sam Allardyce side, Sam is savvy enough to put forward a team that can do well on set pieces and otherwise strangle the game from any influence from the opposition. This is not that easy a game to predict, but I am just seeing the team from the coast making their home advantage count.

Burnley 2-1 Leicester City: When the top division was won by a dominant and established side, playing that side was a massive source of motivation for the opponent. They wanted to have a go at toppling the champions. It was the sign of champions that they would rise to this challenge and more often than not prove why they were champions in the first place. That didn’t mean they always retained their status, but they didn’t do their reputation any harm. Leicester are proving again just how unlikely a set of champions they were last season. It was definitely a blip. This season’s league performances and results, especially without the Champions League jolly, have been so poor that Burnley have to be the favourites in this match. What also assists the Lancashire side in this thinking is the run they have had at Turf Moor. They have turned over some top sides at home and know they are more than capable of grabbing three points again. Dyche is not one to get his lads being complacent about their position, he will keep them on the thinking that they still have to retain their place in the Premier League. A win against the champions – cheap though that is these days – would still do a lot of good to the morale of the team and to their quest in surprising the likes of me and looking to start the 2017-18 season in the Premier League. That win is very likely as well unless Ranieiri can lift his team to do well away from home.

Middlesbrough 1-1 West Brom: Middlesbrough are in a relegation battle. That is not a question, that is an accurate observation based on their place in the table and those that lurk behind them. What also makes them look ever likely for the struggle is their inability to score goals. Even Hull City have scored more goals than Middlesbrough. Yeah, let that sink in for a minute. Some argue that defences win the league, but goalscorers keep teams in the league and Boro are not looking like they have the goals in them. Not only that, they haven’t done anything in the transfer window to suggest they are doing anything about it. West Brom, meanwhile, are having a decent season. They are well set to finish at some point in the middle of the table. That is based on an effective defence, a decent midfield and a credible attacking threat. It’s not to say they couldn’t do with the reinforcement and the lack of that in the transfer window will be a concern, but they go into this game as the favourites with the capacity to return to the Midlands with three points. Though they have that capacity, it will be fascinating to see if they can utilise that against a side who should have the gnawing sense that they could be dragged down to a return to Championship football.

Sunderland 0-3 Tottenham: Spurs did not make life easy for themselves in getting through to the fifth round of the FA Cup. It was about squad management, however, because they know where their priority lies. They are doing very well in the league only losing twice this season and not even Chelsea can say that. This away fixture is another opportunity to get into a strong position in that top four. They can put pressure on their North London neighbours, they can maintain a gap between them and the Manchester clubs. They have the chance to do that because they are playing Sunderland. That’s bottom of the table Sunderland. That’s a team so devoid of ideas, motivation, ambition and any signs of doing anything consistently about their position that it is a surprise that they are not the most miserable team in the Premier League. Their manager has certainly made every effort to establish a trophy for the most miserable manager in the league. Moyes has made little effort to paint any picture but one that screams ‘it’s grim up North’. Spurs appear to be in the mood to heap further misery on this side. Little reason to believe that will not be happening.

Swansea City 2-1 Southampton: This is an interesting game. Not a great game on paper, not one to get the mouth salivating, but it is an interesting game. Interesting because Southampton are in a rather cosy position. They are far enough from the relegation scrap at the moment to not be too fussed. They have a trip to Wembley to look forward to in February. They may have been thrashed in the FA Cup, but seriously is that such a big deal in the larger scheme of things? It’s all going rather cosy for them. Sometimes that degree of cosiness can make it a little difficult to spark players into life to be competitive. This game is far away from Wembley enough for players not to have to be anxious about their places. In that setting the trip to the Liberty Stadium might cause some degree of discomfort for them. The Swans enter this game on the up. Nobody predicted they would return from Anfield with three points, yet that is exactly what they did. That result lifted them two points away from the relegation zone. No they are not safe at all, but they are on the up. Now it’s their chance to keep it up and if they can eek out another win in this match – two consecutive wins in a row in the league, when was the last time they had that? And possibly putting more distance between them and the bottom three. What a motivation to take advantage of this opportunity. Maybe they can do that. No reason why not.

Liverpool 2-1 Chelsea: Chelsea should win this match. Not necessarily win it comfortably, but they should win it. They are definitely in better form than their opponents. They are in better form because they are better organised. They are in better form because they are better drilled. They are in better form because they have the mental strength to come back from any situation and then command and control a game. Throughout the team there is strength all over the place. Their defence is tough. Their midfield is resilient. Their attacking quality and ability to hit teams on the break is irresistible. They have gears yet to reach in their game too and they know how to grind out a result, their game management is simply superb. They are top of the table by a considerable distance and now face a match against a team that had been a competitor in the end of December. January has been a horrific month for their opponents, three consecutive home defeats in a row would have been unimaginable in December. Losing those home games against the likes of Swansea, Southampton and Wolves would have evoked an even more incredulous response, but those are the facts. And in the light of that horrific run of form against inferior opposition, the home side face the best team playing in English football at the moment. Chelsea should win this match. So obviously I predict Liverpool will edge it.

West Ham 1-3 Man City: David Sullivan, co-owner of West Ham, reassured the fans that the squad would emerge from the transfer window stronger than when they entered it. With a few signings made that promise looks to be realised. With the negative influence of the Payet situation now resolved, that may also work towards that belief. Their run of form without Payet has not been that poor at all. This will all bode well and give the club a lift to enter this game. Manchester City have a season to rescue in the league. Pep has been battered for the league form of the club of late. He will look to this opportunity to resume City’s quest for the top four finish. There is a good reason to believe that this is the kind of game that City can win and win well. Their last match showed that if they can turn the chances they make to goals then they will sweep teams away. In as much as their defence has been porous it has been the slack work of their attack that has raised the eyebrows. If that can be fixed in this away fixture then there’s no reason why they cannot leave the capital city with a full quota of points.

Man Utd 4-0 Hull City: United were on a decent unbeaten stretch until they visited Hull for the second leg of the EFL Cup semi-final. They emerged with a place in the final but that unbeaten stretch had been ended in a rather damp squib of a defeat. That will not make Mourinho happy at all. Now in the league, it’s not about revenge, but it will certainly be about ensuring that they can narrow the gap to the top four with the much needed three points. Hull made a few changes for the FA Cup match and were duly disposed from the competition. They do so, however, because they still want to make a fist of their survival. Sure it looks unlikely, sure their squad is worse off after some departures and injuries, but … but … Nope, got nothing for them. Mourinho will have an even more competitive squad following those who made a decent effort in the Cup thrashing of Preston. That should make the team he selects this midweek champing at the bit to welcome Hull to Old Trafford. Being clinical was something that United struggled with earlier this season, but that problem may be a thing of the past, despite that disappointment of a defeat to the same opposition. With players still playing with a point to prove and the support of the Theatre of Dreams then there is every reason to believe that United could do their effort at getting in the top four a power of good with three points gained in a comprehensive fashion.

Stoke City 1-1 Everton: Will Everton make any more signings before this match? Do they need to? What are they playing for now? Sounds of them looking to finish in a place to automatically qualify for Europe certainly shows the ambitions of the club. Does the squad they have on hand look strong enough to pull that off? An indication of that will be how they get on in this still tricky fixture. United will inform the Toffees that coming to Staffordshire is not an easy trip to make. Berahino has finally signed for the club after the previous umpteen transfer window links, but it will be interesting to see if he is ready for this match. Other than that, Stoke have different ambitions to Everton and have a squad that reflects that. This is not a squad of players looking to break into the top six of the Premier League, Stoke City are looking to finish closer to the top eight and slightly higher than their usual midtable finish. Ambitions and desires aside as these two sides meet it looks likely that they will cancel each other out. This is not a game in which a winner can be picked out.

So many variables to be considered in this set of fixtures. Some might be recovering from poor runs of form, others might be playing smart for upcoming fixtures, it is not all straightforward, but it’s still worth making the prediction. My desire is to obviously do a lot better than last time out. It’s been a while since I got a spot on result prediction I am believing that can change by the update on Friday.

Let’s see how it goes.

Shalom

C. L. J. Dryden

Premier League Prediction – Week 20

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The football train keeps a moving on and the game populates all kinds of talk about something or other. Pep is in the picture as his City project doesn’t appear to be going as well as he hoped. That doesn’t mean it has to remain that way. They could turn things around, but there is a need for a turnaround.

Speaking of which was there a turnaround from the last time out with the predictions? Let’s consider how my predictions matched with the actual results. There are points at stake, and here are those stakes – three points for a spot on prediction, one point for just a correct outcome and nothing for nothing.

Tottenham 2-1 West Brom (1 point – actual score 4-0)

Burnley 2-1 Southampton (1 point – actual score 1-0)

Hull City 1-1 Bournemouth (0 points – actual score 3-1)

Sunderland 1-2 Stoke City (1 point – actual score 1-3)

Swansea 0-3 Arsenal (1 point – actual score 0-4)

Watford 1-1 Middlesbrough (1 point – actual score 0-0)

West Ham 2-1 Crystal Palace (1 point – actual score 3-0)

Leicester 1-3 Chelsea (1 point – actual score 0-3)

Everton 1-2 Man City (0 points – actual score 4-0)

Man Utd 2-2 Liverpool (1 point – actual score 1-1)

In terms of correct outcomes that was an astonishing weekend of work on my part 80% – only two matches went against me. Of those two matches the City demolition would not have been foreseen by anyone. Real surprise. Plus Bournemouth losing to Hull? For real? Yet for getting 8 correct outcomes I just couldn’t make any correct scoreline which was slightly disappointing. Nevertheless it’s not a bad week.

Now we look to the next set of fixtures. This set looks fascinating and I at least want to maintain the correct outcomes record adding some correct scores to it. This is a tasty set of fixtures as well not necessarily for stand out matches … just for the sense of the games and their bearing on the top and bottom of the table.

Liverpool 4-1 Swansea: Paul Clement relished the challenge at Swansea when he arrived. That’s quite some optimistic approach when he saw among his first league games was a home tie against Arsenal then a trip to the top scorers in the league. It’s even more optimistic considering Swansea have had a season they would prefer to forget. In those circumstances and following the beating by Arsenal in a ruthless second half dismantling they will need all the optimism in the world in approaching this fixture. That is not to say that Liverpool will win this comfortably. The goals have dried up of late, people are suggesting they are missing Mane and the front players are misfiring. It’s not a great moment for the Reds and where once they looked in prime position to challenge Chelsea, they are looking around them at significant threats. For all those issues, however, they really should win this match.

Bournemouth 2-1 Watford: As the second half of the season picks up momentum for certain teams it’s even more about collecting the points that will prove vital by the end of the season. Both of these teams are not in the relegation zone which should be considered as a massive positive. However both should be wary that it only takes a a few defeats for them to be drawn into the scrap. Watford should be wary in particular because their form of late has not been all that bright. What’s also of concern is the seeming lack of motivation from anywhere to snap out of the slump. Should they not buck up their ideas they could waste an opportunity to confirm their Premier League status. Bournemouth, meanwhile, are so inconsistent in their results that they may survive out of the sheer capacity to get enough wins under their belt. They have tended to do better at home than away and if Howe can get them playing to their capabilities, they should win this game.

Crystal Palace 1-2 Everton: Big Sam knows his way around the Premier League. He won’t be backward in coming forward about that. He has developed a track record of building teams are incredibly difficult to beat and capable of going toe-to-toe with the best. So it must be slightly aggravating at the moment that his powers are not really being evident in the results at Palace at the moment. They remain perilously close to the drop zone and could do with some wins or at least some points to ward off that particular position. Being at home in this tie should work in their favour where that’s concerned. However, they face an Everton team on the up. The result at Goodison Park on Sunday was a clear marker for observers to note. Koeman’s side put in the sort of performance he will now expect as standard. Sure Allardyce will be savvy enough to spoil that as best as he can, but Koeman isn’t a stranger to that style of football. He has now had more than enough time for his side to get the message as to what he expects. They are evidently capable of scoring a goal or four and the Palace defence are hardly the most stingy despite Sam’s best efforts. No one will be taking anything for granted in this game and it really could go either way or even end up in a stalemate, but I am seeing the Toffees continue the good run.

Middlesbrough 1-0 West Ham: In their last game West Ham gave a good impression of a side who didn’t need their best player. They will be looking to maintain that good impression as they go on the road. They are not in an ideal position as far as their aspirations are concerned, but they still have the basic same team that did well last season even if they don’t have their best player. They will travel up to Teeside and face a very difficult side. Boro are among the better defensive sides in the league, they don’t tend to get beat soundly that often at all. Yet in as much as their defensive approach can be solid, they are still lacking significantly in their attacking threat. They can score, apparently, they just don’t make a habit of it regularly. Looking at those factors it would be understandable to see this as a dull draw. Some looking at the quality comparison of both sides would suggest that this game may favour the away side. Yet here is my bold prediction that despite that Boro may have the nous to nullify the Payet-less efforts of the Hammers and sneak away with a much treasured three points.

Stoke City 1-2 Man Utd: I remember United going to what was then the Britannia Stadium under LvG and getting beat. That was not a pleasant experience for the United fans, but for some reasons the Potters weren’t too fussed about it. On this occasion the state of the two teams is different. Stoke City’s is different in the sense that it’s another season into the Hughes reign and there is a concern that the scent of stagnation can be felt as he struggles to pick a settled side. Their win at Sunderland last time out did some good in addressing that, but as many would say – it was only Sunderland. This is a much harder proposition. Before the draw on Sunday, United had been on a decent run of wins game after game. Their ability to snatch a draw in what could easily have been a defeat said much about their relentless pursuit of goals. They feel a much bigger threat than they did last year and that’s down to the four new permanent fixtures in the club – Mourinho, Pogba, Ibrahimovic and Mkhitaryan. They are regaining that sense of arrogance and invincibility that marked both the club and the manager over the years. That means they arrive in Staffordshire not looking to nick a draw against a tough to beat side. They are hungry for the win. Of course their league position suggests they can’t afford to be looking for anything else, but the side seem oblivious to that and are just getting on with being remorseless in collecting another ‘W’ in their record. Pogba, in particular, will be looking to get over a poor performance for him in the last game. In that mood, I don’t see Stoke City emerging with much other than autographs and signed shirts from the away team.

West Brom 3-1 Sunderland: Moyes is confident of keeping Defoe in this transfer window. There is no indication that the striker wants out. So that is all in order for the Mackems. That’s probably the only thing that is in order for the club who appear to be well on their way to playing in the Championship next season. Defoe truly appears to be their only hope. Their only hope for scoring goals, their only hope for galvanising the players behind him and thus the only hope to gain whatever crumbs of comfort that are points that might make themselves available to them. Yet this quest is met with a trip to the Hawthorns where the home side are smarting from a few recent reversals in results. It feels like a while since they last won a match. That might help Pulis in his call for more players to join the club, but it’s not doing his position in the table much good. He’s well aware that if he’s not careful the win-less run might become habitual. So he will look at this game as one of those where he can give everyone a boost. They still have it in them to turn in the sort of performances that got them safely ensconced in the top half of the table. If they produce that in this game they should be expecting the three points comfortably.

Man City 1-2 Tottenham: Some of the noises being made against Guardiola are rather shrill and churlish. It’s as though the idol the media created is now in a position to be demolished because City aren’t running away with the title as they should be. Some of the points and attacks have frankly been shortsighted and ludicrous. Guardiola remains one of the world’s best coaches. This is, however, one of the toughest seasons he has had as a manager. Getting used to this side and their flaws whilst gearing them to play his style is proving to be a challenge. Add to that how some teams seem to have sussed him out and are able both to contain the attacking threat and exploit the defensive frailties and it’s not looking so good for City in their efforts to even gain a top four place. They still have that attacking threat though – that is something that should not be forgotten or dismissed. At their best this City side can cut through a team like a hot knife through butter. At the moment, however, even that side of their game is looking a little blunt. Spurs, meanwhile, appear to have little in the way of problems. Sure Vertonghen will be out for a while with his injury, but Pochettino has proved himself adept at dealing with those defensive absences before. There’s little to suggest he will struggle now. Their defence remains a tough proposition for any attack and that is a great basis for his side to go out and do what they can do very well indeed – score goals and win games. This is undoubtedly the game of the weekend and these two teams can joust and battle, but will hardly put on a borefest. As they slug it out together it’s possible for City to really buck the trend and get a much needed win to kick-start their campaign. That i more than possible, but I see this being edged out by the discipline, steel and clinical capabilities of the North London side.

Southampton 1-1 Leicester: It’s been pointed out that Southampton have an interesting eight days ahead of them. Playing Liverpool at Anfield for a place in the League Cup final and then facing Arsenal to get through to the fifth round of the FA Cup. It is to suggest that the Saints may not repeat their league efforts of recent seasons, but if they manage their games right they could be on their way to a trip to Wembley and another decent Cup run. That’s not a bad season for a midtable side. But managers don’t always think like that. They still look at the league and see that there is a game to be won and they have to consider who they have available to do that. Puel and the Saints don’t look to have that squad depth to suggest they can afford to rotate that much. As well as that the team they face are still, according to the record books, the Premier League Champions. They can’t afford to take this game lightly at all. As for the Champions they certainly have a lot to live up to in their effort and turning this middling and muddling league campaign around. They are in the wrong half of the table and they are not giving the impression they are heading in the right direction just yet. They could definitely do with the win. Overall, however, there is something hugely underwhelming about both sides this season and on that basis I don’t see much to get excited about from this match, including the scoreline.

Arsenal 3-0 Burnley: The draw against Bournemouth will look all the more annoying to Arsenal when they think about the dropped points that Liverpool have suffered and the dip in form of City. They could have been in second place going into this game. As it is, they follow their thumping of Swansea knowing they need to collect three points just to stave off the very real possibility of finishing beneath their dearly beloved North London neighbours. This should not prove to be too problematic, however, for two very good reasons. The first is, for all their flaws and mental failings this season, it’s very rare that they fail to score. Very rare indeed. Giroud is in good scoring form. Sanchez has goals in them there boots. As well as that they have more than sufficient creativity behind them to set up chances especially in the comfort of their welcoming home ground. The second reason why they shouldn’t struggle to get the three points is because of their opponents. I know there’s no place like home, but Burnley are taking that adage way too seriously. To say their away form has been poor is the equivalent of suggesting whacking a hammer on your thumb accidentally may cause a slight physical inconvenience. It just seems that the Lancashire lads don’t travel that well at all. Can they turn that around at the Emirates? Can they? Really? I don’t think so.

Chelsea 5-0 Hull City: Christmas finished almost a month ago, but some Chelsea fans will look at this fixture and think Santa has been saving this up especially for them. That’s because obviously being top of the table by a decent number of points wasn’t a good enough present for them. They proved in their last outing that they can swat away opposition efforts with consummate ease – and that was against the Premier League Champions and without their top goalscorer. Whether Costa plays or not, the Stamford Bridge contingent will turn up expecting three points. That’s because the opposition are Hull City who are making a decent effort at being the worst team in the Premier League. It’s a difficult job with Swansea and Sunderland doing a sterling job in that department also, but Hull, despite surprisingly winning their last match, should resume their usual duties of being plucky losers in this fixture. Sure they will be a nuisance to the home side, they will present a noble effort at soaking up the pressure and somehow hitting on the break. They will be gallant in their plight and if they get Chelsea in complacent mood they could even spark an unlikely result. Therein, however, is the hope that the unlikely will happen and Chelsea will be complacent. If this side, however, even dreams of being complacent there will be a certain individual on the touchline who will let them know in no uncertain terms that the complacency is not welcome in their performance. With that buzzing in their ears it should bode well for the Chelsea choo-choo train to chug along with another three points towards an ever more likely regaining of the Premier League trophy.

Look at those ten fixtures. Just look at them. The biggest match is undoubtedly Spurs travelling to the Etihad, but beyond that the outcomes really should be straightforward. Of course, this is the Premier League and so even the straightforward won’t necessarily be all that, but that’s the whole point of predicting.

Let’s see how it goes.

Shalom

C. L. J. Dryden

Premier League Prediction – Week 19

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FA Cup, League Cup, domestic trophies, both. Yeah, well now that is out of the picture for the time being we can resume with the big business of the league campaign. Seems like so long since a league game was played, but now we’re back at it. Let’s consider how the previous round of games went.

As ever the points system for the predictions work as follows- three points for a spot on scoreline, one point for the right outcome and nothing for nothing.

Middlesbrough 1-1 Leicester City (1 point – actual score 0-0)

Everton 2-1 Southampton (1 point – actual score 3-0)

Man City 3-0 Burnley (1 point – actual score 2-1)

Sunderland 0-4 Liverpool (0 points – actual score 2-2)

West Brom 3-1 Hull City (3 points)

West Ham 1-2 Man Utd (1 point – actual score 0-2)

Bournemouth 0-2 Arsenal (0 points – actual score 3-3)

Crystal Palace 1-0 Swansea (0 points – actual score 1-2)

Stoke City 2-2 Watford (0 points – actual score 2-0)

Tottenham 1-2 Chelsea (0 points – actual score 2-0)

Seven points is not a good score to collect, yet it’s even worse when we look at the percentage of correct outcomes which only mustered a below par 40%. Not the best outcome for me in this set of predictions. Some of which might have to be down to the fact that some had to play so soon after they had played previously. No consolation though. Though when the correct scoreline I get is a game featuring West Brom scoring more than two goals, then that is a clear sign that these are strange days indeed.

There now awaits another round of games for me to ponder and predict and hopefully garner a better collection of points than the last time out.

Tottenham 2-1 West Brom: This should be an intriguing fixture primarily because West Brom are putting together a better points collection this season than they have in a while. It’s gone beyond saying it’s a fluke for them. It is down to the entire squad adapting well to the requirements of Pulis and getting the results to go with it. Sure, the FA Cup defeat wasn’t good, but Pulis has not built a reputation for teams winning things. He’s built a reputation for teams that are hard to beat. Meanwhile Spurs are running into a spot of form themselves and will not just be glad to have progressed in the FA Cup, they will be looking to build off a very good win against the apparently unstoppable Chelsea the last time they had a league fixture. This will not be as easy as other home fixtures Spurs have had of late, the players should certainly know they have been in a struggle when the final whistle blows at the end of this match. There is a quality gap between these two clubs, though, as evidenced in their season’s aspirations. West Brom are in the top half and delirious about it. Spurs are in the top four and battling to stay there. That quality should be the difference in this match.

Burnley 2-1 Southampton: Ahhhhhh Southampton. It was going fairly well. It wasn’t going great, but there were signs that once more the club had made an astute signing bringing in Puel to take over from Koeman. At the moment, though, the Saints are in a tricky patch where in the league they are getting the wrong results at the wrong places. It’s not the best time to be visiting Turf Moor. More and more Sean Dyche is looking like he might pull it off and keep Burnley in the Premier League for the season which in large part will be down to their form at home. The team ethos, the will to make it all about the joint effort and not making a fuss over individuals has forged a tough identity for the Lancastrian side. That cracking home form should see them feeling confident facing a Saints side that has little in the way of a significant attacking threat. As ever, though, this is a Premier League match and Southampton won’t be pushovers in anysense of the word. Looking at who can win this match is not a quality issue, it’s a matter of character and at present that is why the North West side look better equipped to get the three points from this encounter.

Hull City 1-1 Bournemouth: In as much as I wasn’t predicting Phelan’s sacking, it has not come as much of a shock to the system. I am sure it’s not the first time and unlikely to be the last where a successful caretaker spell leads to a huge fail when a permanent appointment is subsequently made. This seems like a great time for Bournemouth to pop in then while there’s still a settling period taking in with the new manager. Eddie Howe may be kicking themselves over throwing a three goal lead away and then getting dumped out of the FA Cup unceremoniously, but their goal at the start of the season would have been staying in the Premier League if at all possible. To that end they will be saving themselves for games like this where they know they have a fighting chance of getting maximum points to help their cause. They will consider the personnel available at Hull City to put out a fit first team squad and they could be licking their lips at the possibility of facing so many novices. Yet their record away from the Vitality Stadium and the unknown factor of what the new guy can bring into Humberside team is reason to think getting the three points will not be as easy as taking candy from a baby.

Sunderland 1-2 Stoke City: Sunderland are fighting for survival in the Premier League. They are very close to that points-wise. They are only third from bottom. They are just one point away from safety. Yet it is not that straightforward for the Mackems. They are two points off rock bottom of the table and they know any slip ups will give hope to Crystal Palace, the team above them. Gaining a point at home to Liverpool was almost seen as a win for them and understandably so. They look at other games as the ones where they need to be picking up the points. Games like this one against the Potters. Stoke City are at present being their usual erratic and inconsistent selves. Just when it looks like they turn a corner, the corner proves to be a mirage. Just when it looks like they couldn’t score to save their lives, they can pluck up a win seemingly from nowhere. There is no doubt, however, that this will not be important to them when they travel up north. Hughes has said that their target is 7th place. It’s good that they have a target, but from now they have to cut out some of the sloppy performances that have seen them concede a lot of goals in recent games. Sunderland will feel they can get the better of Stoke. Yet there should still be enough about the side from Staffordshire to give them the edge in this fixture.

Swansea 0-3 Arsenal: Apparently, Arsenal see themselves as title contenders. Genuine, honest, proper title contenders. So what are they doing in 5th place? What are they doing celebrating a comeback from 3 goals down to draw at Bournemouth? A draw at Bournemouth is reason to be happy. Oh, wait a minute, yeah everything about the spirit and their mentality that they won’t give up and thing. Regular Arsenal observers, however, will detect something only too familiar about the Gunners position. Sure, they could win the league. It’s not impossible. Results like the one at Bournemouth, however, are still two points dropped in looking to catch up a significant points gap. Thankfully, however, they can now do their chances the world of good with a trip to Wales. They should have beaten Bournemouth, no doubt, but in Swansea they face a side who are virtually there as the whipping boys to the big teams. Bradley has gone and been replaced by another newbie to the Premier League. Clement might have some experience as an assistant but the hot seat is a completely different kettle of fish. As far as that kettle is concerned, things will certainly boil up for him in this encounter. Those fighting relegation usually see games like this as a chance to look for a bonus, like nabbing a point if at all possible. Yet with the dire quality of this Swansea side, there shouldn’t be a possibility especially when facing a team that is making claims to be genuine, honest, proper title contenders.

Watford 1-1 Middlesbrough: This is unlikely to be the match of the day. That statement right there is another bid for understatement of the year. Watford are not on a good run of form at the moment. Their performances don’t encourage much in the way of positivity either. There’s little that can be done in this January transfer window to drastically transform their fortunes and so they are left to scrap it out in a tough second half of the season that could still see them sucked into the relegation struggle. A team that is closer to that struggle is Middlesbrough. It’s not that surprising that they are struggling as much because they are a side promoted, but they might feel a little aggrieved that for the money spent on attacking talent they have not seen that much in the way of a return with the goals. That and their away record does not make this match look like much in the way of a game to see the goals flowing. The home side will be looking to set things right for the run in the second half of the league campaign and they might be encouraged by that poor away form of the side they face, but there’s something about this fixture that screams more of the kind of draw that does absolutely nothing to appease any of those with doubts.

West Ham 2-1 Crystal Palace: Just when you thought it was safe to think West Ham were turning a corner, it then becomes apparent that their nightmare of a first season at their new stadium rumbles on. Now it’s the issue about their best player, Payet, not wanting to play. I say Payet is their best player, but there’s been little to suggest that he looks like the player who had a dazzling display at the Euros. The  mood of the club is something that has been symptomatic of some of his performances this season. This issue is unlikely to cheer the home crowd who are still grumbling at the way things are going on their own patch. For all this to happen in time for the visit of their former manager is not going to be good for them. Big Sam will be relishing the opportunity to further the troubles at his old club with his new club. Despite the defeat to Swansea, he will still believe his team is more than capable of putting a decent performance that will stymie the home side and go on to dare hope they can leave with all three points. So in the light of all of that it’s a bit odd that I’m still going for a home win. But this is one of those predictions that is done in reflection of the quirky way that league results can spring up.

Leicester 1-3 Chelsea: They are still to be referred to as the Premier League champions, because they still have the trophy they lifted last May. They are the reigning champions. To say that is a thing of the past is pretty evident with their placing in the table at the moment. It will be significant achievement if they finish this season in the top half of the table. Meanwhile their visitors may have suffered their first defeat in 14 games, but that was after that run of 13 straight wins that leaves them in a position of being able to lose that game and still being five points clear. They could afford to lose this match and still be top of the league. They will not lose this match. It was a great result for Leicester to beat Man City at home. It will take something more however to beat this Chelsea side. Chelsea’s defensive record through the season has been impressive and of course their attack is still something to be very wary of. In as much as eyes might be watching to see how they will react to that defeat in the league, their set-up suggests they have the resilience and character to get back to winning ways. Whereas for Leicester the signs are that it will take a massive effort to upset the likelihood that their victory of last season is an ever fading memory.

Everton 1-2 Man City: Other than the disappointing Cup exit, things at Goodison Park are looking a little better than it did. Their recent meeting gave fans hope that things are moving in the right direction and so far they have been active in the transfer market with the significant purchase of Schneiderlin. That kind of business can have a positive effect on the club and particularly the playing staff knowing that the owner means business when it comes to strengthening the squad. In Lukaku they have a striker who on his day is still a threat to most defences. Speaking of which, the Man City defence has come under increasing scrutiny for their lapses that have lead to conceding. So the City will do well to keep a clean sheet in this game. City, however, also have the onus on them to keep up their title credentials and so nothing less than a win will do for them. Where that’s concerned they still have a troublesome set of attackers that can cause the Everton defence even more concerns than their Mancunian counterparts. Aguerro will certainly see the need to get back on the scoring business in the league. There should be ample that keeps the fans keen to see how the home side will face the Guardiola philosophy. There is something about getting tight and tough with the City lads that might give the home side some hope, but often in these affairs when it gets scrappy and ugly it’s the quality that emerges to make the difference. As that might well be the case the Citizens should feel they have enough to edge it.

Man Utd 2-2 Liverpool: This is still a big game in English football. Despite not having won the league in 27 years and only having finished in the top four once in the last five years, Liverpool are still considered to be a big club in the domestic game. Their form this season thus far has seen some look positively at them beginning to actually perform in a way that reflects the accolade of a big club. There may still be question marks over the defence, but in the last two matches there have been concerns over the attack with Liverpool failing to score in those games that have coincided with the departure of Mane to the African Cup of Nations. Now as they face their biggest rival it’s all the more crucial that they can find their scoring boots. What makes matters even more daunting for their visit to Old Trafford is the form of the home side. They have been accumulating the wins and the points and are now in legitimate striking distance of the top four itself. Another win to add to their run at the moment and especially against the old enemy would represent a massive boost to their chances and in bringing Liverpool closer to them may give them hopes of even getting the second place spot. United have not necessarily put in blistering performances, but their game management has been masterful and it’s difficult to recall a time in a match where they looked in jeopardy of losing the game. Unlike the clash at Anfield, being at home puts the onus on them to be on the front foot, yet they face a team that is more than used to that and have a pressing play that can upset their rhythm. It makes for an intriguing contest, that’s for sure.

That really is a super Sunday with Merseyside taking on Manchester and what about that tasty fixture between the last champions and the favourites to take their crown. There are some good ties this weekend and I am confident that the points tally this weekend will work in my favour.

Let’s see how it goes.

Shalom

C. L. J. Dryden

Premier League Prediction – Week 18 Part 1

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Here we are at last the end of the year is nigh. What better way to close 2016 than with a round of Premier League matches. Regarding the year in football I will probably review that early next year. For the time being let’s briefly recall the festive round of games and see how the results matched up to my predictions.

The scoring system for the games is as ever three points for a correct scoreline, just the one point for the right outcome and zero points for getting it all wrong.

Watford 2-1 Crystal Palace (0 points – actual score 1-1)

Arsenal 3-1 West Brom (1 point – actual score 1-0)

Burnley 1-1 Middlesbrough (0 points – actual score 1-0)

Chelsea 2-0 Bournemouth (1 point – actual score 3-0)

Leicester City 2-1 Everton (0 points – actual score 0-2)

Man Utd 3-0 Sunderland (1 point – actual score 3-1)

Swansea 1-2 West Ham (1 point – actual score 0-4)

Hull City 0-3 Man City (3 points)

Liverpool 3-1 Stoke City (1 point – actual score 4-1)

Southampton 1-2 Tottenham (1 point – actual score 1-4)

7 out of 10 correct outcomes again and 9 points again. It’s like Groundhog Day all over again. Not complaining though, it’s a good record overall and a decent standard from which to work. Two goals overall was the difference between the current score and 14 points with two spot on scores, but I won’t be bitter. 

Now let us consider the next round of games that sees the end of the year and the start of brand new one. I know that there are another round of games scheduled to start just the day after this round finishes, but there will be a set of predictions for that too.

Hull City 0-2 Everton

Burnley 2-1 Sunderland

Chelsea 4-0 Stoke City

Leicester City 1-1 West Ham

Man Utd 3-0 Middlesbrough

Southampton 1-1 West Brom

Swansea 1-2 Bournemouth

Liverpool 3-2 Man City

Watford 0-2 Tottenham

Arsenal 3-1 Crystal Palace

Yeah things will be different for all clubs concerned, some will have matches soon after this one too. Yet I am confident that I will do well on these occasions and possibly break into double figures territory. As ever, however …

Let’s see how it goes.

Shalom

C. L. J. Dryden

Premier League Prediction – Week 16 Part 2

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There are phrases I particularly get tickled by. One of them is, the games are coming in thick and fast. That phrase. Just hilarious. As though the number of games are like a blizzard. They are not like a blizzard at all. Though their plenteous nature is truly welcomed by someone who enjoys his Premier League football like my good self.

Before tuck into the feast of further football that awaits let us look at the games that have just been played this week and see how I did with the old prediction business. The system works in a simple way just like the league itself: three points for a win which is understood as a correct scoreline; one point for missing the scoreline but getting the outcome correct; then absolutely nothing for getting the whole shabungle wrong.

Bournemouth 2-2 Leicester City (0 points – actual score 1-0)

Everton 1-2 Arsenal (0 points – actual score 2-1)

Middlesbrough 1-2 Liverpool (1 point – actual score 0-3)

Sunderland 0-3 Chelsea (1 point – actual score 0-1)

West Ham 2-1 Burnley (1 point – actual score 1-0)

Crystal Palace 1-2 Man Utd (3 points)

Man City 3-1 Watford (1 point – actual score 2-0)

Stoke City 1-1 Southampton (1 point – actual score 0-0)

Tottenham 2-0 Hull City (1 point – actual score 3-0)

West Brom 2-0 Swansea (1 point – actual score 3-1)

Ten points in total. That’s very good and an improvement on recent weeks. But check this out in terms of percentage – 80%!!! 8 out of ten game outcomes were correctly predicted. That’s got to be an all time record on this prediction business. Yeah, it was great getting a correct scoreline in all that, but the sheer number of games with the correct outcomes was something I was particularly pleased with. That’s a good week’s work right there. The goal is to get more than 50% so to exceed that and get tantalisingly close to the full set was very good indeed, even if I do say so myself.

As the jolly season closes in and teams adjust to the rigours of the games coming in so quickly, will that affect predictions for the following set of fixtures? Will I be able to get equal or even better the performance of late? With that in mind, let’s consider this weekend’s fixtures.

Crystal Palace 0-2 Chelsea: Would it be harsh to sack Pardew this Christmas for failing to get enough points on the board over this run of games? I watch Palace play and see a side that does genuinely fight for each other and fight for the team. Yet for all their effort, they still come across as a side that is playing as less than the sum of its parts. How can a team like Palace be looking at Bournemouth and Watford above them? How does that work? Nevertheless that’s the position they are in. Noble though their defeat was to United in their last game, it was still a defeat and one that took place at home. Now they face Chelsea! Approaching this game as though they don’t have a chance won’t help them at all. It would be understandable for them to think that way though. Just consider their opponents. Ten wins in ten consecutive league games. Six points clear at the top of the table. They do not look like letting up. They can take on the defensive approach of Sunderland away from home without a key player and still emerge with the three points. Their system is working smoothly, they are not hassled by not scoring early. Players like Pedro and Fabregas who were initially considered out of favour can come into the team and make an impact. They are where they are because they deserve it and there’s little to suggest Palace can do much to change that. So would it be harsh to sack Pardew with that run of form?

Middlesbrough 2-1 Swansea: It’s a funny old game. Boro can’t be said to be having a bad season, as such. Yet here they are entering the game just three points ahead of their opponents who have been having a pretty torrid time in the league of late. Even if Swansea won, however, it wouldn’t put them above their opponents because of the degree of the goal difference and there is no way the Swans have it in them to be scoring a hatful of goals with little response. Having said that Boro don’t exactly have goals in them either. The onus is on Swansea though to get something from this match, preferably all three points. If things don’t go their way and they leave the Riverside with empty hands it will leave them with potentially a six point gap to safety. More disturbingly, it would leave them with another run of form that does not bode well for their chances of survival. There is something about the Welsh side, though, that gives the impression that they don’t have it in them to pull off an away win. They just don’t seem to be cohesive enough this season. Their team seems bereft of ideas when it matters most and that could prove to be their downfall. Karanka, however, cannot afford to take this game for granted. Their team has to be on it and they certainly have to raise their level of play from their last home outing where their defeat to Liverpool wasn’t too clever.

Stoke City 2-2 Leicester City: One minute they’re thrashing Manchester City the next minute they’re being humbled at Bournemouth. The Bournemouth result has been more reflective of the season the Premier League Champions. It makes it all the more of a fluke that they beat Man City the way they did. That result seems like a blip in a season of disappointing results and performances in the league. The questions remain: is this about players having a lacklustre  reaction to winning the league? Is it the case that others have sussed out their style? Are the players complacent? Has the manager run out of ideas? Whatever the issue, Leicester city are now four points above the drop zone, they are not safe by any means. They need to get into the habit of winning games pretty quickly. Stoke City, in the meantime, are having some difficulty. They did well to get a draw against Southampton having played with ten men for a significant part of the game. That does not help them, however, having lost their previous match. They could do with a win just to get their season back on a more even keel. Yet their team have not been convincing as an attacking force. They need to get their stuff in order where scoring is concerned, but it’s difficult to see where that will happen. They could take advantage of their opponents being off form, but similarly they would have to raise their game to do that.

Sunderland 1-1 Watford: Hmmmmmm … Sunderland. Bottom of the table. Four points away from safety. Three losses in their last four games. That’s not good. Their saving grace is that they are around teams who are similarly scrapping with degrees of poor results. They face Watford and they are at home. They can win this game. In Defoe they have a striker who still knows where the goal is. David Moyes has Premier League pedigree, he knows how to get a team organised. He is not that bad a manager. Yet with stories coming out of the Stadium of Light that there won’t be that much in the way of funds to strengthen the squad in the January window, this is not a good time to be a Mackem. Watford, however, do not have a good record away from home. For whatever reason, their players tend to struggle. Sure they could see this game as a chance to get some points on the board and to win the game. They have a team cohesion that Sunderland would love to have. They have a manager who has hit the ground running where getting used to the league is concerned. This game, however, will be a fight. This will not be a game for the purists and can Watford scrap sufficiently to get those points on the board. It will be tough, that is for sure. In it all, there seems to be more likely a draw.

West Ham 2-1 Hull City: Hooray, West Ham not only win a game of football, they win a game of football at their home ground! Are they playing well? Nope. Are they anything like the team of last season? Nope. Are they going to get relegated? Nope. There are worse teams like them in this league this season. Their standards would really have to drop low for them to play in the Championship next season. They are now unbeaten in two games, they have the momentum of a win behind them. Beating Burnley was something and now they face a side who are worse than Burnley. That’s no disrespect to Hull. It’s just saying it as it is. Hull have a poor away record. Hull have a poor record full stop. West Ham won’t get relegated, but Hull should. That poor away record and facing a West Ham who want to make the most of going on the up will not work in their favour. What is worse for the away side is that in West Ham they face a side near them in the table and who they would look to nab a point or more from in order to give them some hope. The likelihood is, however, that the hope will continue to be extinguished after a game like this.

West Brom 1-2 Man Utd: This is among the harder matches to predict in this round of fixtures. What makes it this way is due to the form of both sides. West Brom at the Hawthorns are scoring goals for fun. Now that is still an odd phrase to say in relation to a side managed by Tony Pulis. It’s odd, but it’s true. Their recent three goal spree gives them a look at the table where they are looking up rather than down. Of course, the first team they’re looking up at will be their opponents. Chelsea have been the best team in the league at the moment, but there’s a very good argument to be made that the second best team on form has been United. Where Arsenal, Liverpool, City and Spurs have lost in recent games, United haven’t tasted defeat in the league since they faced Chelsea way back in October. That’s all of 8 league games unbeaten. Sure if they had turned some of those draws into wins they would be higher up the table, but there can be no doubt they are making good progress. West Brom will prove to be their toughest opponents to date. It will be a good test of their credentials if they can emerge from the game with three points. A point will be a hindrance in their bid for the top four finish. They go into this game looking for nothing less than a win – they are Man Utd and they must win. West Brom will have other ideas and they have not been well and truly beaten in a game for a long time. They can use this game to really test their own mettle and see if they can start to take seriously their ability to truly do well this season. If the United team play near their best, they can just about get the three points.

Bournemouth 1-1 Southampton: If Bournemouth carry on the way they are going they will finish the season safely in the league to fight again. They do not win every game and they do not lose every game. They will win and then they will lose. They are getting used to picking up the points when it matters and especially at home they are proving difficult to face. Liverpool, Leicester, Everton and West Brom have all lost at the Vitality Stadium this season in the league, that’s a promising record for the side. Yet this is as good as it gets to a local derby for Bournemouth. It’s hardly the Glasgow derby in terms of intensity and hostility of rivalry, but it is still a derby and anything can happen in a local derby. Southampton, are the epitome of a middling team. Their last result against a middling team was a draw. There is little about them to suggest they are going to anything that drastically different against another middling team. That is not to suggest this will be an easy contest at all for either side. They are both wary of the threats that can be posed by their opponents, they are certainly aware of the expectations their fans have for such an occasion. It is an accumulation of all this that tends towards the thought that the game will end in a draw. The home side will certainly think they can do better than a point, but they will have to be at their best to remain focused and not let the occasion get to them.

Man City 2-2 Arsenal: These are arguably two of the best footballing teams in the Premier League. Footballing in that sense of passing the ball around, keeping possession and having the capacity to pass with intent and use speed to penetrate the other side. Footballing in the sense of being consistent in winning games and looking like genuine title contenders has eluded both sides in recent games. City more than Arsenal. The Citizens certainly recovered well from the shock defeat to Leicester, but they are still seven points behind the league leaders.  It’s not an unassailable lead, but it is a significant gap. A gap they need to start into pretty quickly. The Gunners lost for the first time in the league since the opening day of the season, so that is a fairly decent record to be getting on with. They too, however, have seen potentially topping the table to now being six points behind. They certainly did not want to be facing City so soon having lost to Everton, though some positive fans have looked at this as another opportunity to make a statement of intent in the Premier League. Indeed Arsenal can do that. They have beaten City before at the Etihad. There is a vulnerability about City that they could exploit with all the pressure that Guardiola is coming under for the lack of quality defending being displayed by his side. This has the makings to be one of the games of the season even if City are missing Aguerro. It will be interesting to particularly see how Arsenal approach this game, if they go for solidity in midfield and look to run the show from there, it could pay dividends for them. Though both sides know a draw would not be helpful in their pursuit of the title, it might have to be what they settle with.

Tottenham 3-1 Burnley: The fixture list has been kind to Spurs where their recent home games are concerned. Swansea, then Hull and now Burnley. Three teams to varying degrees struggling in the table this season. Three teams that do not have good away records and three teams who even for all that would be considered inferior to this Spurs side. Spurs dispatched Swansea without much hassle. They put down Hull without really breaking that much of a sweat. Burnley will provide something a little different for the home side. They will offer a lot more in the way of tenacity and grit. They will offer a harder working team ethic. They will offer a determination evident from the manager throughout. Pochettino will be very much aware of all of that. He will be aware of it and he will look at the players at his disposal and know that if they play at their potential, if they follow the instructions they have been given then they will pick up another three precious points.  Those points will be precious indeed if the teams about them fail to collect three points themselves. The job at hand, however, is for them to deal with Burnley first. They haven’t played at their peak as yet this season, but it will be a good way to start things the right way to put down a marker for their intentions to deal with business properly.

Everton 2-3 Liverpool: The Merseyside derby. Other than the North London derby, it is the enduring derby of the top league. Everton come into this game on the back of a morale-boosting victory against Arsenal. The way the crowd and the team rose to the occasion was something that will give tremendous confidence to the Toffees. They have not been beaten at home. In Lukaku they have one of the strikers who is sharper in front of goals than most. They will not be intimidated going into this game, especially if the team begin to believe in what Koeman is telling them. This game means a lot to the fans, it means a lot for pride and in terms of finishing higher up the table than they have in previous seasons. They can beat this Liverpool side, who for all the goals scored, still have to take their defensive responsibilities to a higher level than they currently inhabit. However, like Lukaku they have a striker in form. Origi has scored five goals in five games and that will stand him in good stead going into this match. As a derby game, this is not going to be one for tippy-tappy football. This should be about guts and passion and the team willing to channel that for the better will be the team that should win the game. Everton face their hardest home match to date in seeing their local rivals. If they can match the degree of intensity they displayed in the second half against Arsenal they should be confident. If Liverpool, however, can take the initiative and keep it, the Reds might be crowing come the final whistle.

A fascinating set of fixtures before a week without football. It will be a set of games to savour and if Chelsea win, it could be one that sees them safe in the knowledge that they will start 2017 in top spot – which will be ominous for their rivals. All of that is yet to be played out, and so …

Let’s see how it goes.

Shalom

C. L. J. Dryden