Prediction

Premier League Prediction – Week 1

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Ahhhh the wait is over, the Premier League is back and what better way to get going than with a round of predictions for the opening games of the season. Preseason form can be completely useless as a team begins with hopes of success – all starting at the same level if not at the same time.

This being week one, no need to worry about anything other than the games and my predictions of the final score!

Arsenal 3-1 Leicester

Watford 1-3 Liverpool

Chelsea 2-1 Burnley

Crystal Palace 2-2 Huddersfield

Everton 3-0 Stoke

Southampton 1-1 Swansea

West Brom 1-0 Bournemouth

Brighton 0-5 Man City

Newcastle 1-3 Tottenham

Man Utd 2-1 West Ham

The beauty of these fixtures is that there’s no immediate precedent on which to make predictions, clubs can experience all kinds of starts to seasons. So will things turn out as I imagine?

Let’s see how it goes.

Shalom

C. L. J. Dryden

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Premier League Prediction – Week 34

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Well. Here we are. 34 prediction weeks, 38 Premier League games. From August 2016 to May 2017. The end of the league season is here. I will save my thoughts on the season for another post after the play off finals. What I will say now, though, is that this season has been better than last season with great promise for next season. 

There is one more day of Premier League action for me to apply my prediction skills. Before that, there is the review of the previous set of fixtures. Usual points apply, three points for a spot on prediction, one point for just the right outcome and zero points for getting it wrong. 

Man City 3-1 Leicester (1 point – actual score 2-1)

Bournemouth 2-2 Burnley (0 points – actual score 2-1)

Middlesbrough 0-1 Southampton (1 point – actual score 1-2)

Sunderland 1-2 Swansea (1 point – actual score 0-2)

Stoke 0-2 Arsenal (1 point – actual score 1-4)

Crystal Palace 2-2 Hull City (0 points – actual score 4-0)

West Ham 2-1 Liverpool (0 points – actual score 0-4) 

Tottenham 1-1 Man Utd (0 points – actual score 2-1)

Chelsea 2-1 Watford (1 point – actual score 4-3)

Arsenal 3-0 Sunderland (1 point – actual score 2-0)

Man City 3-1 West Brom (3 points) 

Southampton 1-1 Man Utd (1 point – actual score 0-0)

Leicester 1-2 Tottenham (1 point – actual score 1-6)

13 ties in total, 4 completely wrong outcomes, so 9 out of 13 correct outcomes is cool. 11 points in it all. Not great, but at least it’s better than nothing. 

One more time for the 16/17 to see if I can do well at this prediction gig. 

Arsenal 3-1 Everton 

Burnley 2-1 West Ham 

Chelsea 4-0 Sunderland 

Hull 1-3 Tottenham 

Leicester 2-2 Bournemouth 

Liverpool 5-0 Middlesbrough 

Man Utd 0-0 Crystal Palace 

Southampton 1-1 Stoke 

Swansea 2-1 West Brom 

Watford 1-4 Man City 

There is little for teams to fight for in the games today. I hope that won’t make for a boring lady day of the season. Whether that will turn out to be the case, though. 

Let’s see how it goes. 

Shalom 

C. L. J. Dryden 

Premier League Prediction – Week 33

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Congratulations to Chelsea, worthy winners of the Premier League in 2016-17. Did I see this coming? Nope. Was it common knowledge they would win at the start of the season? Nope. But this is not a fluke win like Leicester’s last season. This is one built on a team playing to their level and structured and motivated well by a manager who has done well with what he was given even if it was not what he wanted. 

Although the Champions are known and two of the three relegated are also decided, there are still places to be decided and final games to be played. Before we consider the penultimate set of fixtures, let’s just review how I did in predicting the games I looked at last week. 

Man City 2-2 Crystal Palace (0 points – actual score 5-0)

Bournemouth 2-1 Stoke City (0 points – actual score 2-2)

Burnley 2-0 West Brom (0 points – actual score 2-2)

Hull City 2-1 Sunderland (0 points – actual score 0-2)

Leicester 3-1 Watford (1 point – actual score 3-0)

Swansea 1-2 Everton (0 points – actual score 1-0)

Liverpool 1-1 Southampton (1 point – actual score 0-0)

Arsenal 1-1 Man Utd (0 points – actual score 2-0)

Chelsea 4-0 Middlesbrough (1 point – actual score 3-0)

Three measly points. Just three points. Not the greatest week of predictions for me. Not the greatest at all. By a long shot. 

To wash out that shower of rubbish, let’s look at the fixtures from now to Thursday. 

Man City 3-1 Leicester – The home side has more to play for. Leicester may be on their hols mentally by now. 

Bournemouth 2-2 Burnley – Burnley have won a game away from home finally, but that doesn’t mean they will be a threat from now on. Bournemouth still want to finish the season well. 

Middlesbrough 0-1 Southampton – Boro are down, primarily because they don’t know how to score. They might want to finish their last home game well, but Puel somehow knows how to bore opposition away from home. 

Sunderland 1-2 Swansea – The home side might have pride to play for, but the Swans can still stay up with a win. That might be enough to give them the incentive to get the precious three points.  

Stoke 0-2 Arsenal – At this time of the season, it’s about who has the character and quality to edge games. Over the season both have lacked in these matters, but Arsenal are in form at just the right time, so should get an unusual three points from their trip to the Potteries. 

Crystal Palace 2-2 Hull City – This game is the toughest to call and arguably the biggest game of the weekend. Palace can’t afford to lose. Hull must win. It’s set up for a fascinating clash. 

West Ham 2-1 Liverpool – The Hammers beating Spurs to ruin their title hopes would have made the home fans very happy and if they finish the season well can feel hopeful. Liverpool will struggle against inferior opposition again. 

Tottenham 1-1 Man Utd – There’s not as much riding on this game as there was a week ago. It’s still a clash of two big clubs with two great managers. I see a stalemate. 

Chelsea 2-1 Watford – It would be churlish for the Champions not to lift the trophy in front of their own fans. Don’t expect the Hertfordshire side to just make up the numbers though. 

Arsenal 3-0 Sunderland – Are Sunderland really going to stop the good run of the Gooners? Don’t be silly. 

Man City 3-1 West Brom – Pulis doesn’t want his season to peter out like this, but there’s little to suggest that his side will stop the home side from picking up the three points they need to confirm their top four finish. 

Southampton 1-1 Man Utd – People complain about Mourinho complaining about the number of games his team has to play. Is he wrong, though? Would any other club excel with the rate of fixtures they’ve faced? So don’t expect a festival of football here. 

Leicester 1-2 Tottenham – The ultimate in games that mean nothing and for which managers talk about doing a professional job and playing for the fans. It will be intriguing to see the approach both teams have. Spurs should win, but that’s not straightforward. 

Back to back, wall to wall Premier League football from now to Thursday as those fixtures left outstanding are sorted. All before the end of the season beckons with the games a week on Sunday. Might as well make the most of it while we have it. I know all the scores won’t go as I predicted, but how many will I get right? 

Let’s see how it goes. 

Shalom 

C. L. J. Dryden 

Premier League Prediction – Week 32

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As the end of the season draws ever closer so the points become more important at both ends of the table. Those with something to play for have their wits sharpened, but do they have enough to get enough to achieve their aims at the business end of the season? 

Before exploring this weekend’s fixtures, let us review my predictions from last week. Like the league, points are at stake. Three points for a spot on prediction, one point for the correct outcome and zero points for getting it wrong. 

Southampton 1-1 Hull City (1 point – actual score 0-0)

Stoke City 2-2 West Ham (1 point – actual score 0-0)

Sunderland 1-1 Bournemouth (0 points – actual score 0-1)

West Brom 1-2 Leicester (1 point – actual score 0-1)

Crystal Palace 2-1 Burnley (0 points – actual score 0-2) 

Man Utd 2-1 Swansea (0 points – actual score 1-1)

Everton 2-2 Chelsea (0 points – actual score 0-3)

Middlesbrough 1-3 Man City (0 points – actual score 2-2)

Tottenham 2-1 Arsenal (1 point – actual score 2-0)

Watford 1-1 Liverpool (0 points – actual score 0-1)

Wowsers. Just 4 points. Not even a 50% correct outcome percentage in which to find refuge. That’s bleak. I definitely need to wash that out of the system pretty quickly. 

So to the upcoming fixtures and although I missed the West Ham v Spurs match, I have to count that as zero points anyway as I wouldn’t have said this West Ham side would beat Spurs the way they have played through the season. Here is what I reckon the outcome will be for the other weekend fixtures. 

Man City 2-2 Crystal Palace 

Bournemouth 2-1 Stoke City 

Burnley 2-0 West Brom 

Hull City 2-1 Sunderland 

Leicester 3-1 Watford 

Swansea 1-2 Everton 

Liverpool 1-1 Southampton 

Arsenal 1-1 Man Utd 

Chelsea 4-0 Middlesbrough 

Chelsea should relish the opportunity to take on Boro to further strengthen their pole position. Meanwhile points dropped by United and Arsenal will only underline just how disappointing this season in the league has been for both of them. That of course is if things go as I predict. Will it? Well as ever all we can do is wait and … 

Let’s see how it goes. 

Shalom 

C. L. J. Dryden 

Premier League Prediction – Week 31

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Oh, so in recent days the actions of a particular player has brought the issue of predicting match outcomes under scrutiny. OK to be fair it’s more about the gambling than anything. Interesting arguments flying around about that issue. It’s worth mentioning that this right here, this predicting of games, goes no further than the points I update from week to week. No betting, no gambling, no money in and no money out. It’s all for the fun in the game. 

Speaking of fun and games in predicting football games, the Premier League trundles into its final month. As we bid farewell to April, we have another intriguing round of league fixtures. Before that, let’s see how I did with those non-gambling related predictions in the midweek. Just points on offer as ever – three points for a spot on prediction, one point for a correct outcome and zero points for being wrong, wrong, wrong on the whole show. 

Chelsea 2-1 Southampton (1 point – actual score 4-2) 

Arsenal 3-1 Leicester City (1 point – actual score 1-0) 

Middlesbrough 0-0 Sunderland (0 points – actual score 1-0)

Crystal Palace 2-3 Tottenham (1 point – actual score 0-1)

Man City 2-2 Man Utd (1 point – actual score 0-0)

Four out of five correct outcomes is a decent return, but only getting four points for it with no spot on prediction hurts things a little. But like the Murphy’s, I’m not bitter. I just move on to the next set of games looking to do a little better than before. 

So let us see exactly what those fixtures consist of and see if I can do better. 

Southampton 1-1 Hull City 

Stoke City 2-2 West Ham 

Sunderland 1-1 Bournemouth 

West Brom 1-2 Leicester 

Crystal Palace 2-1 Burnley 

Man Utd 2-1 Swansea 

Everton 2-2 Chelsea 

Middlesbrough 1-3 Man City 

Tottenham 2-1 Arsenal 

Watford 1-1 Liverpool 

The final North London game at White Hart Lane is the game to watch this weekend. Spurs win and it seals their superiority over their neighbours for the first time in nearly a generation. Lose and the same old doubts will arise about them despite the progress they definitely have made over the last season. Meanwhile Chelsea’s trip to Merseyside isn’t going to be easy. Lovely league fixtures to feast over this weekend. What’s going to happen? 

Let’s see how it goes. 

Shalom 

C. L. J. Dryden 

Premier League Prediction – Week 30 Part 2

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Weekend done and dusted already and another set of games already on the way. FA Cup finalists are now primed for another day at Wembley. Meanwhile the league chugs on in the quest to wrap up the league in less than a month. 

Before we look at the midweek action, let’s take a look at how I did with the few games that transpired on Saturday and Sunday. There were points to be picked up or not. Like the league system, three points for a spot on prediction, just the one point for the correct outcome and zilch for getting everything wrong. 

Bournemouth 2-0 Middlesbrough (1 point – actual score 4-0)

Hull City 2-1 Watford (3 points) 

Swansea 2-1 Stoke City (3 points) 

West Ham 1-3 Everton (0 points – actual score 0-0)

Burnley 1-2 Man Utd (1 point – actual score) 

Liverpool 3-1 Crystal Palace (0 points – actual score 1-2)

Six games played and four correct outcomes is a decent return. Particularly pleasing, though, was getting two spot on predictions sending the score to a very creditable 8 points. Very creditable indeed considering there have been weeks where all ten games have been played and I accumulated less points. So I am pleased with that without going over the top and booking an open top bus parade of the city in which I live. 

However there are now five league fixtures to be negotiated this midweek. There’s one intriguing encounter I am particularly looking forward to checking out. So without further ado I shall consider these games and my predicted scores. 

Chelsea 2-1 Southampton 

Arsenal 3-1 Leicester City 

Middlesbrough 0-0 Sunderland 

Crystal Palace 2-3 Tottenham 

Man City 2-2 Man Utd

So no it wasn’t Boro taking on Sunderland that whetted my appetite but the next chapter in the saga of Guardiola vs Mourinho that has me intrigued. Not so much in the personal rivalry which has rightly been played down, but in that glorious professional combat of two of the greatest managers in the game today. In comparison the caretaker at Middlesbrough playing Moyes at Sunderland is … Well, it’s fair to say I won’t go out of my way to buy the DVD of that game for posterity. The Manchester derby completes the set of games where five of the top six are on action, so there’s position and points to play for. Ahhhh the Premier League story goes on – what will happen? 

Let’s see how it goes 

Shalom 

C. L. J. Dryden 

Premier League Prediction – Week 30 Part 1

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The end of the season draws near. The league games are coming in thick and fast. There are still things to play for and some are of the opinion it’s a case of game on in the title race. I am not sure about that, but at least the procession is not as inevitable as was the case. 

Three of the league’s top sides and Arsenal play in the semi-final of the FA Cup over the weekend and that looks like mouthwatering encounters and also piles up their league programme for the final weeks. Can their competitors take advantage of this? Before we preview the few league matches taking place this weekend before midweek action, let’s look back on how I did with the action last weekend. Points at stake in predicting the outcome and they reflect the points system in the league. Three points for a spot on prediction, one point for just a correct outcome and zero points for getting it wrong. 

Tottenham 3-1 Bournemouth (1 point – actual score 4-0) 

Crystal Palace 2-1 Leicester (0 points – actual score 2-2) 

Everton 3-0 Burnley (1 point – actual score 3-1) 

Stoke City 2-1 Hull City (1 point – actual score 3-1) 

Sunderland 1-2 West Ham (0 points – actual score 2-2)

Watford 1-1 Swansea City (0 points – actual score 1-0) 

Southampton 2-3 Man City (1 point – actual score 0-3)

West Brom 1-1 Liverpool (0 points – actual score 0-1)

Man Utd 2-1 Chelsea (1 point – actual score 2-0)

Middlesbrough 0-3 Arsenal (1 point – actual score 1-2) 

Hmmmmmmm not a good week points wise picking up a paltry six points. Not shabby in terms of a 60% outcome statistic, but it goes to show that a spot on prediction can make all the difference to a points total. It’s amazing how agonisingly close I was to spot on scores, but therein is the challenge. 

That challenge continues into the six games played in the league this weekend. Let us look at them. 

Bournemouth 2-0 Middlesbrough: It’s unlikely that this will be the game of the season. Both clubs are not in a good way and for the visitors in particular three points will be precious indeed. Middlesbrough are in a relegation scrap but don’t appear to know how to fight. They may have scored against Arsenal, but who hasn’t? Plus it was the chances they missed again that proved costly in yet another defeat. Their inability to score is proving to be their downfall and there is little to suggest that they have what it takes to get themselves out of this situation. That’s not to say Bournemouth will just have to turn up to win. They know another defeat in this game could see them be drawn into a scrap. Howe needs to re-establish his team’s ability to win games of football to give them security. This could be the ideal occasion to do that.  

Hull City 2-1 Watford: It’s unlikely that this will be the game of the season. Watford are in a safe zone. Their win against Swansea was enough to give them a good cushion from the drop zone. Their achievement in retaining their league status is worthy of applause. They don’t convince as a Premier League outfit, there aren’t any outstanding players that get the pulses racing and they are hardly beacons of managerial consistency and yet they survive. They survived well. That knowledge in the back of the head can have a slightly negative effect against teams that have more to play for. Hull have more to play for. It’s incredible to think that a team so poor at one point of the season are still in with a fighting chance of staying in the Premier League. If Watford are an unlikely Premier League outfit, Hull fit that billing even more. Yet Silva has imprinted a rugged and tenacious approach to the game that won’t see them beaten easily. Do they have enough quality to stay up? I am not convinced, but I do think their fighting spirit will see them just about nab the three points. 

Swansea 2-1 Stoke City: It’s unlikely that this will be the game of the season. Stoke may have won their last game, but they are not convincing anyone. For whatever reason the signs of stagnation are becoming all the more evident in the play. They are not phoning it in and they are not suffering from safety complacency, they are, however, struggling to push on from consolidating their place as a midtable side. Are they in need of refreshing? Whatever they are in need of, they need to be alert in this game. They face a Swansea who have no room for complacency at all because they have a battle on their hands to escape the dreaded drop. If they put their best foot forward and aggressively attack with intent, converting their chances they can get the much needed three points to assist them in the struggle. They have it in them to do it. 

West Ham 1-3 Everton: It’s unlikely that this will be the game of the season. The main reason West Ham will survive this season is because there are four teams below them who are worse than them. This is hardly a reassuring position for the club to be in following last season’s progress. The ownership hardly help that with their public pronouncements. Yet that wouldn’t be the case if West Ham were playing well. When was the last time West Ham played well? Have they played well this season at all? This home game can set a good stance going forward. Yet they face an Everton side who are doing well and are keen to maintain their overall good form. They can finish this season strong and set a base for the busy summer ahead. They are still in a position to breathe pressure on the likes of United and Arsenal. Lukaku on form could be a handful for any defence and the Hammers might be on the receiving of another strong display from the Toffees. 

Burnley 1-2 Man Utd: It’s unlikely that this will be the game of the season.  Burnley will be licking their lips at catching United at this time. They have beaten Everton and Liverpool at Turf Moor and home is definitely where the heart is as far as their good play is concerned. They face a United side who are exhausted from their exertions in the Europe League quarter final. With more injuries picked up in that game, United not only have recovery to consider, but selection to think through too. They know they face a Burnley side who will be up for the scrap. There is something canny about United, though, and they will have a fresh Herrera available to put himself about in midfield. They still go into this game with enough quality to play their part in a competent performance. It is in the light of this that I reckon against the pressure and run of games they can still emerge with three points. 

Liverpool 3-1 Crystal Palace: It’s unlikely that this will be the game of the season. Somehow Liverpool have gone to the Hawthorns and Stoke-on-Trent and emerged with six points. They didn’t play pretty, they didn’t have Mane or Lallana. They played two teams who pride themselves on being awkward to face. They did so with question marks over their ability to beat inferior sides. They have done a lot better than people expected. They are now back at Anfield and although they face the return of Benteke in a team managed by Sam Allardyce there will be greater pressure for the Reds to maintain the good form. Big Sam knows his side are not safe yet and would be hoping to follow up recent wins against Chelsea and Arsenal with another compact and competitive display that can take advantage of the defensive flaws. Liverpool will have to be wary of the wiles of Palace, but they have it in their own hands to determine their destiny. 

As you may have got the impression with these predictions, it’s unlikely that 8we will witness the game of the season in this list of fixtures. Maybe more attention will be given to the semi final games, but these league fixtures play a pivotal part in how the final league table will turn out. 

Let’s see how it goes. 

Shalom 

C. L. J. Dryden